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  1. #1
    Inactive Member Diets17's Avatar
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    Oil prices hit 7-month low

    NEW YORK "? Oil prices closed below $100 a barrel for the first time in six months today, tumbling more than $5 as the demise of Lehman Brothers and the sale of Merrill Lynch fed worries about the U.S. economy and sparked another dramatic sell-off.

    Crude prices have now given up virtually all their gains for the year, extending a steep, two-month slide from record levels above $147 a barrel.

    Oil's pullback "? prices tumbled as much as $7 in a special trading session Sunday "? also came as early signs suggested that Hurricane Ike delivered less damage than feared to the Gulf Coast energy oil and gas infrastructure.

    Light, sweet crude for October delivery fell $5.47 to settle at $95.71 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange "? oil's first settlement under $100 since March 4.

    The latest sell-off in oil began Sunday and accelerated today as traders digested a day of dramatic upheaval on Wall Street: Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., a 158-year-old investment bank, filed for bankruptcy after failing to find a buyer and Merrill Lynch & Co. agreed to be bought out by Bank of America Corp.

    Lehman, Merrill and other big institutional investors were major participants in the commodities boom of the past year, helping push the price of oil, precious metals and grains to historic highs until a slowing global economy helped bring a halt to the rally.

    Analysts said investors feared that the upheaval in the financial sector could trigger another round of commodities liquidation "? especially with Lehman likely to unwind its holdings.

    Other investors may also unload commodities, fearing that the deepening economic crisis will further reduce demand for energy and raw materials futures.

    "I think this is giving the bulls further reason to exit the market," said Stephen Schork, an oil analyst and trader in Villanova, Pa., who said the pullback could reflect Lehman or a hedge fund selling.

    Crude has fallen more than $50 "? or 35 percent "? from its all-time trading record of $147.27 reached July 11 as a global economic slowdown continues to weigh on demand for energy.

    Other commodities traded mixed, with energy futures down but gold, silver and most grains trading higher.

    Investors were also awaiting damage assessments to Gulf energy infrastructure after Ike's passage.

    U.S. officials said Sunday that Ike destroyed at least 10 oil and gas platforms and damaged pipelines in the Gulf of Mexico. But that represents only a small portion of the 3,800 production platforms in the Gulf and pales in comparison to the catastrophic damage to energy infrastructure doled out by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita three years ago.

    "Fears of widespread refinery damage have been allayed considerably and a number of facilities are coming back up in a timely fashion," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of energy consultancy Ritterbusch and Associates in Galena, Ill.

    Still, power outages along the Gulf Coast were slowing efforts to restart some refineries. Meanwhile, virtually all oil production in the Gulf and about 92 percent of natural gas output remained shut-in as of Sunday, according to the U.S. Minerals Management Service.

    The shutdown of Gulf refineries sent wholesale gasoline prices spiking last week and pushed pump prices back above $4 a gallon in South Carolina, Alabama, Georgia and other states. Gasoline shortages were reported in Maryland, Virginia and North Caroline.

    On Monday, a gallon of regular rose half a penny overnight to a new national average of $3.842 "? up 16.7 cents from Friday, according to auto club AAA, the Oil Price Information Service and Wright Express.

    Tom Kloza, publisher and chief oil analyst at the Oil Price Information Service in Wall, N.J., said supply shortages caused by Ike and Hurricane Gustav three weeks ago should last at least another two weeks.

    "That means we're looking at close to $4 a gallon for the rest of September," Kloza said. "People are going to observe more of this disconnect where retail prices move higher even though crude oil is trading below $100 a barrel." Also adding to the selling pressure Monday was a slightly stronger dollar. A rising greenback encourages investors to unload commodities bought as a hedge against inflation or weakness in the U.S. currency.

    Oil fell despite reports that militants have launched another attack Nigeria's oil infrastructure in a third day of violence.

    ------------------------------------------------------------


    I fully expect oil prices to drop to around 80 dollars a barrel by November. Last time they were that low I'm pretty sure we were paying around 2.50 to 2.75 at the pump. Hopefully the prices at the pump will reflect the drop in oil prices soon. Glad to see the Saudis stand up to OPEC also, that will have a large effect on prices and might just be one of the factors driving the price down. Still though, I hope leadership in Washington reconizes that this is still a huge problem that needs to be addressed from all angles.

  2. #2
    Inactive Member MikeJones's Avatar
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    Re: Oil prices hit 7-month low

    just above 92 bucks a barrel today around a 4 buck drop from yesterday
    GO VOLS

  3. #3
    Inactive Member sup-rbeast's Avatar
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    Re: Oil prices hit 7-month low

    <div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: Diets17</div><div class="ubbcode-body">Lehman, Merrill and other big institutional investors were major participants in the commodities boom of the past year, helping push the price of oil, precious metals and grains to historic highs until a slowing global economy helped bring a halt to the rally.</div></div>

    Guess sometimes ya reap what ya sow...
    ...And if you ain't down with that, I got 2 words for ya....

  4. #4
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    Re: Oil prices hit 7-month low

    As ironic as it may seem, the finances of OPEC members may be as bad as at any time in recent memory. They have become poor as quickly as they became rich earlier this year.

    OPEC obviously expected oil prices to stay above $100 for some length of time. Government budgets in places like Iran and Venezuela depend on high crude. Now they face massive deficits and no way to handle their obligations.

    In places including Saudi Arabia and Kuwait parts of the banking systems are strained and the ability of royal families to buy new Hummers and private jets has been hurt. Read More...

    http://blogs.moneycentral.msn.com/to...%20price%20war

  5. #5
    Inactive Member 1inStripes's Avatar
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    Re: Oil prices hit 7-month low

    Yep, I mentioned those facts probably 2 months ago that those countries, Russia included I believe, are about to see some hard times.
    "Call me crazy, but I want to buy the Dallas Cowboys end zone and have the star right at the foot of my bed. That way when I score, I can spike the ball right on the star!" -Woody Paige, Around the Horn 10.9.08

  6. #6
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    Re: Oil prices hit 7-month low

    Todays up-date. I meant to get the part about the production cut OPEC is considering to stabilize prices, but I missed.
    Now comes the cheaper oil and our tendancy to go right back to them.
    "OPEC has seen an astonishing drop in crude prices catch it unawares. Who would have believed that oil would fall from $147 to $55 in a matter of months. But, economies in the West, India, and China have slowed despite massive stimulus packages in place and planned.

    The cartel faces an easy choice. There was a time around summer when driving up crude prices could be blamed for hurting the global economy by increasing the price of gas and fueling inflation. Those issues are hardly relevant at this point.

    Now, OPEC has no option but to severely cut supply and little risk of being viewed badly, at least in the early stages of production cut.

    To move oil back up would involve a Herculean effort to keep shipments down. Daily exports of crude would probably have to be chopped by two million barrels a day. If that does not work, the number would need to be ratcheted up again.

    Cheap oil is not here to stay. OPEC nation's can't afford it and being accused of causing dangerous inflation is no longer a problem."

  7. #7
    Inactive Member PVVikeFan's Avatar
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    Re: Oil prices hit 7-month low

    I was in the northern part of Indiana yesterday and saw regular gas for $1.77.
    _________________________________________________________
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